Macroeconomics, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Economics with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (7th Edition)
7th Edition
ISBN: 9780134472669
Author: Blanchard
Publisher: PEARSON
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From your understanding what the Phillips curve is, is it possible for
the unemployment rate to increase while inflation also increases?
Explain.
The Phillips curve in Lowland takes the form of π = 0.04 − 0.6(u − 0.05), where π is the actualinflation rate and u is the unemployment rate. The Phillips curve in Highland takes the form ofπ = 0.08 − 0.4(u − 0.05). The current unemployment rate in both countries is 9 percent (0.09).
For both countries, analyze the impact on inflation of a 2% decrease in unemployment?
In which country will policymakers face a bigger trade-off if they try to reduce unemployment in the shortrun? Why
According to the Phillips curve, there is an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. It is possible for policymakers to “buy” lower unemployment by allowing higher inflation. Using a Phillips curve, illustrate and explain how nationwide rioting and looting will impact the economy and why this supply shock has implications for policymakers
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Macroeconomics, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Economics with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (7th Edition)
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- Which of the following is true about the Phillips curve? The empirical relationship between unemployment and inflation in the US disappeared after the 1970s. This means that the theoretical Phillips curve does not represent the world well. For a researcher to identify the theoretical Phillips curve from empirical data, the economy must be subject to supply shocks. The empirical Phillips curve implies that a government must choose between either low unemployment and high inflation or high unemployment and low inflation. When inflation expectations adjust, the negative empirical correlation between inflation and unemployment might disappear.arrow_forwardPhelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year. Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one. Consider the following scenario. Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in the labor force are unemployed. Suppose that in January, 10% of the workers…arrow_forwardPhelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year. Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one. Consider the following scenario. Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in the labor force are unemployed. Suppose that in January, 10% of the…arrow_forward
- Using the Phillips curve: imagine a country is having a higher unemployment rate than usual for a longperiod of time (higher than the natural rate). What should happen in the short term and in the longterm?arrow_forwardPhelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year. Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one. Consider the following scenario. Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in the labor force are unemployed. Suppose that in January, 15% of…arrow_forwardAccording to the St. Louis Federal Reserve the natural unemployment rate is 4.42 percent (Q4 2023 ) and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates the U.S. unemployment rate (U3, October 2023 B) to be 3.9 percent. If you expect unemployment to continue to fall the short-run Phillips curve would predict: OA decrease in the inflation rate. An increase in the inflation rate. ○ A decrease in the unemployment rate. ○ An increase in the unemployment rate.arrow_forward
- Draw a Phillips curve graph here that shows a natural rate of unemployment of 4% and a current inflation rate of 2%. Make sure your lines and axes are labeled and your graph is complete! Use your knowledge of The Phillips Curve to answer the following questions. The threat of future inflation: makes people reluctant to loan money for long periods. makes people eager to loan money for long periods. has no effect on loaning money. increases the value of money paid back in the future. makes people reluctant to borrow money for long periods. According to the short-run Phillips Curve, there is a trade-off between: interest rates and inflation. the growth of the money supply and interest rates. unemployment and economic growth. inflation and unemployment. economic growth and interest rates. Which of the following is true of the long-run Phillips curve? it shows there is a trade-off between unemployment and inflation. it is positively sloped when the inflation rate exceeds…arrow_forwardUsing what you know about the Phillips curve, determine whether the following quantities will increase, decrease, or remain the same. a. Unemployment in the short run after an increase in inflation: (Click to select) v b. Unemployment in the long run after an increase in inflation: (Click to select) v c. Inflation in the short run after a decrease in unemployment: (Click to select) d. Inflation in the long run after a decrease in unemployment: (Click to select) |(Click to select) decrease increase remain the samearrow_forwardThe Phillips curve represents the relationship between unemployment and inflation. You are required to think about the impact on the economy of movements along the curve. If the unemployment rate in the economy is steady at 4 percent per year, how does the short-run Phillips curve predict that the inflation rate will be changing, if at all? What will happen if the unemployment rate now rises to 7 percent per year? Assume there are no changes to inflation expectations. Provide an appropriate graph to support your discussion.arrow_forward
- An economy has the following equation for the Phillips Curve: π = Eπ − 0.5(u − 6)People form expectations of inflation by taking a weighted average of the previous two years of inflation: Okun’s law for this economy is: Eπ = 0.7π−1 + 0.3π−2 (Y −Y−1)/(Y-1)=3.0−2.0(u−u−1) Th economy begins at its natural rate of unemployment with a stable inflation rate of 5 percent. 1. What is the natural rate of unemployment for this economy? 2. Graph the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment that this economy faces. Label the point where the economy begins as A. 3. A fall in aggregate demand leads to a recession, causing the unemployment rate to rise 4 percentage points above its natural rate. On your graph, label the point the economy experiences that year as point B.arrow_forwardYou observe the following short-run Phillips curve for the economy: T = 9.2 -0.26(u - 6.5%) + v. There are no supply shocks to the economy, and the actual unemployment rate is 6.5% (and will stay that way for the foreseeable future). What will expected inflation be next year? Write your answer as a percentage, and round at one (1) decimal. Do not write the percentage sign. If you need more information to answer the question, write "O".arrow_forwardConsider the nature of unemployment and inflation and predict whether or not they should have some sort of relation with each other. Explain why you expect that relation to hold true.arrow_forward
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