Plot these forecasts AND the original demand data on graph paper or spreadsheet. Use a key to distinguish among your three lines. Please use the graph in the attached picture for the answer.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 42P: The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars)...
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  1. Plot these forecasts AND the original demand data on graph paper or spreadsheet. Use a key to distinguish among your three lines.

Please use the graph in the attached picture for the answer.

 

#1 - Average Forecast: 3 Month Moving Average
#2-Average Forecast: 5 Month Moving Average
Ft
3 Month
Forecast
At
Ft
At
5 Month
Moving Avg
Forecast
Cumulative
Forecast Error
Forecast
Cumulative
Dt
Demand
3 Month
Moving Avg
Dt
5 Month
Forecast
Period
Error
Forecast Error
Period Demand
Error
1300
1
1300
1100
2
1100
3
900
3
900
1600
1100.0
1100.0
500.0
1600
1200.0
1200.0
300.0
766.7
1500
1500
1280.0
1333,3
1733.3
2100
1333.3
6
2100
1280.0
820.0
2400
1733.3
666.7
2400
1440.0
1440.0
960.0
2000.0
1700.0
2000.0
2166.7
8
2000
0.0
8
2000
1700.0
300.0
9
2900
2166.7
..
733.3
9
2900
1920.0
1920.0
............
980.0
3200
3700
10
2433.3
2433.3
766.7
10
3200
2180.0
2180.0
1020.0
11
2700.0
2700.0
1000.0
11
3700
2520.0
2520.0
1180.0
12
2400
1600
3266.7
-866.7
2840.0
........*i
2840.0
3266.7
12
2400
440.0
......
13
3100.0
3100.0
-1500.0
13
1600
2840.0
2840.0
-1240.0
800.0
1000
1820.0
14
1000
2566.7
2566.7
-1566.7
14
2760.0
2760.0
-1760.0
Time-series data
Don't forget to chart the demand data
120
110
100
90
80
70
- 3-Period Moving Average
60
---5-Period Moving Average
50
40
30
20
1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8
10 11 12 13 14
Time period
Demand
Transcribed Image Text:#1 - Average Forecast: 3 Month Moving Average #2-Average Forecast: 5 Month Moving Average Ft 3 Month Forecast At Ft At 5 Month Moving Avg Forecast Cumulative Forecast Error Forecast Cumulative Dt Demand 3 Month Moving Avg Dt 5 Month Forecast Period Error Forecast Error Period Demand Error 1300 1 1300 1100 2 1100 3 900 3 900 1600 1100.0 1100.0 500.0 1600 1200.0 1200.0 300.0 766.7 1500 1500 1280.0 1333,3 1733.3 2100 1333.3 6 2100 1280.0 820.0 2400 1733.3 666.7 2400 1440.0 1440.0 960.0 2000.0 1700.0 2000.0 2166.7 8 2000 0.0 8 2000 1700.0 300.0 9 2900 2166.7 .. 733.3 9 2900 1920.0 1920.0 ............ 980.0 3200 3700 10 2433.3 2433.3 766.7 10 3200 2180.0 2180.0 1020.0 11 2700.0 2700.0 1000.0 11 3700 2520.0 2520.0 1180.0 12 2400 1600 3266.7 -866.7 2840.0 ........*i 2840.0 3266.7 12 2400 440.0 ...... 13 3100.0 3100.0 -1500.0 13 1600 2840.0 2840.0 -1240.0 800.0 1000 1820.0 14 1000 2566.7 2566.7 -1566.7 14 2760.0 2760.0 -1760.0 Time-series data Don't forget to chart the demand data 120 110 100 90 80 70 - 3-Period Moving Average 60 ---5-Period Moving Average 50 40 30 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 14 Time period Demand
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