Mary Khadir is suing the manufacturer of her car because of a defect that she believes caused her to have an accident, keeping her out of work for a year. She is suing the company for $3.5 million. The company has offered her a settlement of $700,000, of which Mary would receive $600,000 after lawyers’ fees. Her lawyer has advised her that she has a 50% chance of winning her case. If she loses, she will incur lawyers’ fees and court costs of $75,000. If she wins, she is not guaranteed her full requested settlement. Her lawyer believes that there is a 50% chance she could receive the full settlement, in which case Mary would get $2 million after her lawyer takes his cut and a 50% chance that the jury will award her a lesser amount of $1 million, of which Mary would get $500,000. Using decision-tree analysis, decide if Mary should sue the manufacturer. What is the Expected Value of Mary winning the lawsuit? What is the Expected Value of Mary winning the lawsuit? What is Marys lawyers expected value of filing the lawsuit? What is the expected value of filing the lawsuit?
Mary Khadir is suing the manufacturer of her car because of a defect that she believes caused her to have an accident, keeping her out of work for a year. She is suing the company for $3.5 million. The company has offered her a settlement of $700,000, of which Mary would receive $600,000 after lawyers’ fees. Her lawyer has advised her that she has a 50% chance of winning her case. If she loses, she will incur lawyers’ fees and court costs of $75,000. If she wins, she is not guaranteed her full requested settlement. Her lawyer believes that there is a 50% chance she could receive the full settlement, in which case Mary would get $2 million after her lawyer takes his cut and a 50% chance that the jury will award her a lesser amount of $1 million, of which Mary would get $500,000. Using decision-tree analysis, decide if Mary should sue the manufacturer. What is the Expected Value of Mary winning the lawsuit? What is the Expected Value of Mary winning the lawsuit? What is Marys lawyers expected value of filing the lawsuit? What is the expected value of filing the lawsuit?
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