Larry Summers has worn many hats over the years, one of which was Chief Economist of the World Bank from 1991-1993. While he was holding that position, a memo from his office was leaked to the press and it caused a bit of a scandal. Using your understanding of neoclassical economic analysis, explain the logic behind Summers's proposal below. Then, once you have explained what's going on here, give your opinion. Do you agree or disagree? Why? DATE: December 12, 1991 TO: Distribution FR: Lawrence H. Summers Subject: GEP 'Dirty' Industries: Just between you and me, shouldn't the World Bank be encouraging MORE migration of the dirty industries to the LDCs [Less Developed Countries]? I can think of three reasons: 1) The measurements of the costs of health impairing pollution depends on the foregone earnings from increased morbidity and mortality. From this point of view a given amount of health impairing pollution should be done in the country with the lowest cost, which will be the country with the lowest wages. I think the economic logic behind dumping a load of toxic waste in the lowest wage country is impeccable and we should face up to that. 2) The costs of pollution are likely to be non-linear as the initial increments of pollution probably have very low cost. I've always thought that under-populated countries in Africa are vastly UNDER-polluted, their air quality is probably vastly inefficiently low compared to Los Angeles or Mexico City, Only the lamentable facts that so much pollution is generated by non-tradable industries (transport, electrical generation) and that the unit transport costs of solid waste are so high prevent world welfare enhancing trade in air pollution and waste. 3) The demand fora clean environment for aesthetic and health reasons is likely to have very high income elasticity. The concern over an agent that causes a one in a million change in the odds of prostrate cancer is obviously going to be much higher in a country where people survive to get prostrate cancer than in a country where under 5 mortality is is 200 per thousand. Also, much of the concern over industrial atmosphere discharge is about visibility impairing particulates. These discharges may have very little direct health impact. Clearly trade in goods that embody aesthetic pollution concerns could be welfare enhancing. While production is mobile the consumption of pretty air is a non-tradable. The problem with the arguments against all of these proposals for more pollution in LDCs (intrinsic rights to certain goods, moral reasons, social concerns, lack of adequate markets, etc.) could be turned around and used more or less effectively against every Bank proposal for liberalization.

Macroeconomics
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Chapter20: Building Theories To Explain Everyday Life: From Observations To Questions To Theories To Predictions
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Larry Summers has worn many hats over the years, one of which was Chief Economist of the
World Bank from 1991-1993. While he was holding that position, a memo from his office was
leaked to the press and it caused a bit of a scandal. Using your understanding of neoclassical
economic analysis, explain the logic behind Summers's proposal below. Then, once you have
explained what's going on here, give your opinion. Do you agree or disagree? Why?
DATE: December 12, 1991
TO: Distribution
FR: Lawrence H. Summers
Subject: GEP 'Dirty' Industries:
Just between you and me, shouldn't the World Bank be encouraging MORE migration of the dirty industries to the LDCs [Less Developed
Countries]? I can think of three reasons:
1) The measurements of the costs of health impairing pollution depends on the foregone earnings from increased morbidity and mortality. From
this point of view a given amount of health impairing pollution should be done in the country with the lowest cost, which will be the country with
the lowest wages. I think the economic logic behind dumping a load of toxic waste in the lowest wage country is impeccable and we should face
up to that.
2) The costs of pollution are likely to be non-linear as the initial increments of pollution probably have very low cost. I've always thought that
under-populated countries in Africa are vastly UNDER-polluted, their air quality is probably vastly inefficiently low compared to Los Angeles or
Mexico City. Only the lamentable facts that so much pollution is generated by non-tradable industries (transport, electrical generation) and that
the unit transport costs of solid waste are so high prevent world welfare enhancing trade in air pollution and waste.
3) The demand fora clean environment for aesthetic and health reasons is likely to have very high income elasticity. The concern over an agent
that causes a one in a million change in the odds of prostrate cancer is obviously going to be much higher in a country where people survive to get
prostrate cancer than in a country where under 5 mortality is is 200 per thousand. Also, much of the concern over industrial atmosphere discharge
is about visibility impairing particulates. These discharges may have very little direct health impact. Clearly trade in goods that embody aesthetic
pollution concerns could be welfare enhancing. While production is mobile the consumption of pretty air is a non-tradable. The problem with the
arguments against all of these proposals for more pollution in LDCs (intrinsic rights to certain goods, moral reasons, social concerns, lack of
adequate markets, etc.) could be turned around and used more or less effectively against every Bank proposal for liberalization.
Transcribed Image Text:Larry Summers has worn many hats over the years, one of which was Chief Economist of the World Bank from 1991-1993. While he was holding that position, a memo from his office was leaked to the press and it caused a bit of a scandal. Using your understanding of neoclassical economic analysis, explain the logic behind Summers's proposal below. Then, once you have explained what's going on here, give your opinion. Do you agree or disagree? Why? DATE: December 12, 1991 TO: Distribution FR: Lawrence H. Summers Subject: GEP 'Dirty' Industries: Just between you and me, shouldn't the World Bank be encouraging MORE migration of the dirty industries to the LDCs [Less Developed Countries]? I can think of three reasons: 1) The measurements of the costs of health impairing pollution depends on the foregone earnings from increased morbidity and mortality. From this point of view a given amount of health impairing pollution should be done in the country with the lowest cost, which will be the country with the lowest wages. I think the economic logic behind dumping a load of toxic waste in the lowest wage country is impeccable and we should face up to that. 2) The costs of pollution are likely to be non-linear as the initial increments of pollution probably have very low cost. I've always thought that under-populated countries in Africa are vastly UNDER-polluted, their air quality is probably vastly inefficiently low compared to Los Angeles or Mexico City. Only the lamentable facts that so much pollution is generated by non-tradable industries (transport, electrical generation) and that the unit transport costs of solid waste are so high prevent world welfare enhancing trade in air pollution and waste. 3) The demand fora clean environment for aesthetic and health reasons is likely to have very high income elasticity. The concern over an agent that causes a one in a million change in the odds of prostrate cancer is obviously going to be much higher in a country where people survive to get prostrate cancer than in a country where under 5 mortality is is 200 per thousand. Also, much of the concern over industrial atmosphere discharge is about visibility impairing particulates. These discharges may have very little direct health impact. Clearly trade in goods that embody aesthetic pollution concerns could be welfare enhancing. While production is mobile the consumption of pretty air is a non-tradable. The problem with the arguments against all of these proposals for more pollution in LDCs (intrinsic rights to certain goods, moral reasons, social concerns, lack of adequate markets, etc.) could be turned around and used more or less effectively against every Bank proposal for liberalization.
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