David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of David's portfolio value consists of FF's shares, and the balance consists of PP's shares. Each stock's expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence 0.20 0.35 0.45 Strong Normal Weak Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals 40% 24% -32% 56% 32% -40% Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in David's portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the th possible market conditions next year. • The expected rate of return on Falcon Freight's stock over the next year is
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- Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Aaron owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Happy Dog Soap Company (HDS) and Black Sheep Broadcasting (BSB). Three-quarters of Aaron’s portfolio value consists of HDS’s shares, and the balance consists of BSB’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Happy Dog Soap Black Sheep Broadcasting Strong 0.50 30% 42% Normal 0.25 18% 24% Weak 0.25 -24% -30%…Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Tyler owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Celestial Crane Cosmetics Company (CCC) and Lumbering Ox Truckmakers (LOT). Three-quarters of Tyler’s portfolio value consists of CCC’s shares, and the balance consists of LOT’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Celestial Crane Cosmetics Lumbering Ox Truckmakers Strong 0.20 35% 49% Normal 0.35 21% 28%…2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Ethan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of Ethan’s portfolio value consists of FF’s shares, and the balance consists of PP’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals Strong 0.25 30% 42%…
- 2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Happy Dog Soap Company (HDS) and Black Sheep Broadcasting (BSB). Three-quarters of David’s portfolio value consists of HDS’s shares, and the balance consists of BSB’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Happy Dog Soap Black Sheep Broadcasting Strong 0.50 42.5% 59.5%…Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: James owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM) and Hungry Whale Electronics (HWE). Three-quarters of James’s portfolio value consists of BLM’s shares, and the balance consists of HWE’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Blue Llama Mining Hungry Whale Electronics Strong 0.25 27.5% 38.5% Normal 0.45 16.5% 22% Weak 0.30 -22%…Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Ian owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of Ian’s portfolio value consists of FF’s shares, and the balance consists of PP’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals Strong 0.50 35% 49% Normal 0.25 21%…
- Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Ian owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of Ian’s portfolio value consists of FF’s shares, and the balance consists of PP’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals Strong 0.50 35% 49% Normal 0.25 21% 28% Weak…Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Tyler owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of Tyler’s portfolio value consists of FF’s shares, and the balance consists of PP’s shares. Each stock’s expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table: Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Falcon Freight Pheasant Pharmaceuticals Strong 0.50 12.5% 17.5%…Suppose you are considering investing your entire portfolio in three assets A, B and C. You expect that after you invest, four possible mutually exclusive scenarios will occur, with associated returns (in %) for each of the three assets as listed below. The probability of each scenario is given below (Attached image). Find the expected returns and standard deviations of Asset A, B & C. (HINT: the expected return is given by the probability-weighted sum of returns in each scenario. The expected standard deviation is given by the square root of the probability-weighted sum of squared deviations from the expected return.) Is there any reason to invest in Asset A given its low expected return and high standard deviation?
- The expected rate of return of an investment ________. a. equals one of the possible rates of return for that investment b. equals the required rate of return for the investment c. is the mean value of the probability distribution of possible returns d. is the median value of the probability distribution of possible returns e. is the mode value of the probability distribution of possible returnsThe value of an asset is the present value of the expected returns from the asset during theholding period. An investment will provide a stream of returns during this period, and it isnecessary to discount this stream of returns at an appropriate rate to determine the asset’spresent value. A dividend valuation model such as the following is frequent. where:Pi = the current price of Common Stock iD1 = the expected dividend in Period 1ki = the required rate of return on Stock igi = the expected constant-growth rate of dividends for Stock iA. Identify the three factors that must be estimated for any valuation model, and explain whythese estimates are more difficult to derive for common stocks than for bonds.B. Explain the principal problem involved in using a dividend valuation model to value :(1) companies whose operations are closely correlated with economic cycles.(2) companies that are of very large and mature.(3) companies that are quite small and are growing rapidly.Darren is considering the following investments; Alphabet, PayZero and FNQ Res.: Probability of return (%) Likely Return Alphabet (%) Likely Return PayZero (%) Likely Return FNQ Res. (%) 20 6 4 9 30 9 7 14 40 16 10 19 10 18 14 26 a) Calculate the expected return for each asset.b) Calculate the expected return on a portfolio comprising each asset weighted as follows Asset Weighting (%) Weighting (%) Alphabet 20 PayZero 55 FNQ Res. 25 c) Explain to Darren the benefit of combining the assets into a portfolio instead of undertaking individual investments in Alphabet, PayZero and FNQ Res. d) Calculate the risk attached to each of the investments proposed in Alphabet, PayZero and FNQ Res. Rank each investment in regard to its risk and return. Discuss the likely range of returns that could eventuate for each asset with a 95% level of accuracy. ONLY ANSWER PART C AND D PLEASE