A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.20 and that of high demand to be 0.80. The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is $70,000 if demand is low and $170,000 if demand is high. If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $100,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $100,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $120,000. What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff? Best decision is to buy nothing machine(s) and its expected payoff is $nothing. (Enter your responses as integers.)
A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.20 and that of high demand to be 0.80. The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is $70,000 if demand is low and $170,000 if demand is high. If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $100,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $100,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $120,000. What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff? Best decision is to buy nothing machine(s) and its expected payoff is $nothing. (Enter your responses as integers.)
Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN:9781305627734
Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Chapter15: Decision Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 5P: Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data warehouse: continuing with its...
Related questions
Question
A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be
0.20
and that of high demand to be
0.80.
The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is
$70,000
if demand is low and
$170,000
if demand is high.If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is
$100,000.
If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of
$100,000;
(2) subcontracting, with an NPV of
$140,000;
and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of
$120,000.
What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff?
Best decision is to buy
nothing
machine(s) and its expected payoff is
$nothing.
(Enter
your responses as
integers.)
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
This is a popular solution!
Trending now
This is a popular solution!
Step by step
Solved in 2 steps with 4 images
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, finance and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Recommended textbooks for you
Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course …
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305627734
Author:
Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Principles of Accounting Volume 2
Accounting
ISBN:
9781947172609
Author:
OpenStax
Publisher:
OpenStax College
Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course …
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305627734
Author:
Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Principles of Accounting Volume 2
Accounting
ISBN:
9781947172609
Author:
OpenStax
Publisher:
OpenStax College