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Al Qaeda Downfall

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Al-Qaeda has gained a great amount of attention worldwide for its relentless and deadly terrorist attacks. For many years this terrorist organization has plagued its own people and the world. Due to this, they have become a great threat to democracy. Now the question rises, how can al-Qaeda and its affiliates be stopped? What is a proper solution to this ongoing threat? Well we know all terrorist groups eventually end, but how do they end? Evidence from 1968 to present day indicate that a majority of terrorist groups have ended due to joining the political process or by arrest and death of key members (Jones). In regards to al-Qaeda, this hasn’t signaled the end of the fighting. With the death of its leader, Osama Bin Laden, the organization …show more content…

Many goals suggest that a military strike or operation will put an end to al-Qaeda but military operations will not be sufficient enough to be the only cause which puts an end to this terrorist group, according to Seth G. Jones author of the article “How Terrorist Groups End: Lessons for Countering al Qa'ida”. “Of the 648 groups that were active at some point between 1968 and 2006, a total of 268 ended during that period. Another 136 groups splintered, and 244 remained active” (Jones). According to this research the author concluded that most terrorist organizations ended for two main reasons. One being due to infiltration by intelligence agencies and local police that ended in the arrest or death of key members which lead to the elimination of the organization; this accounts for 40 percent of the overall situations. The other is where the organization reached a peaceful political accommodation with their government; that accounts for 43 percent of the situations. The remaining 17 percent of situations falls into military intervention and Victory by the terrorist groups. According to the …show more content…

Military force led to the end of terrorist groups in 7 percent of cases… The analysis also found that
• religiously motivated terrorist groups took longer to eliminate than other groups but rarely achieved their objectives; no religiously motivated group achieved victory during the period studied.
• size significantly determined a group's fate. Groups exceeding 10,000 members were victorious more than 25 percent of the time, while victory was rare for groups below 1,000 members.
• terrorist groups from upper-income countries are much more likely to be left-wing or nationalist and much less likely to be motivated by religion” (Jones).
Jones compiled and analyzed data of all terrorist groups that were active between 1968 through 2006. This information was acquired from an incident database from the RAND (Research and Development) Corporation and the Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism

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