CH14-Assignment

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County College of Morris *

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Statistics

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Apr 3, 2024

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Module 10 (Chapters 14) Assignment Problem 1 Cost Estimation. An important application of regression analysis in accounting is in the estimation of cost. By collecting data on volume and cost and using the least squares method to develop an estimated regression equation relating volume and cost, an accountant can estimate the cost associated with a particular manufacturing volume. Consider the following sample of production volumes and total cost data for a manufacturing operation. Production Volume (units) Total Cost ($) 4 0 0 4000 450 5000 550 5400 600 5900 700 6400 C75 0 7000 a. Use these data to develop an estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the total cost for a given production volume. The estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the total cost for a given production volume is y =7.6 x +1246.7 . There are two ways to find the estimated regression. One way is to use Excel to create a scatter plot, and under chart elements, you select 'more trendline options' and 'Display Equation on chart.' The other way is using the least squares method. You use the following formulas: b1 =∑( xi x ˉ)( yi y ˉ)/∑( xi x ˉ)2. This will get you the slope. Then you find the y-intercept by using the following formula: b0= y ˉ− b 1 x ˉ. This will get you the estimated regression. b. What is the variable cost per unit produced? The variable cost per unit produced is 7.6 . To determine this, you need to find the slope of the data. To find the slope, use the following formula b1 =∑( xi x ˉ)( yi y ˉ)/∑( xi x ˉ)2. c. Compute the coefficient of determination. What percentage of the variation in total cost can be explained by production volume? The coefficient of determination in percentage form is 95.86%. To calculate the coefficient of determination, you use the formula: Sum of Squares Regression / Sum of Squares Total. d. The company’s production schedule shows 500 units must be produced next month. Predict the total cost for this operation. The total cost of the company’s production schedule of 500 units is $5046.67 . To find this cost, you plug in the value of x, which is 500 units, into the estimated regression equation that we found in part A. y =7.6 (500) +1246.7 . Problem 2 College GPA and Salary. Do students with higher college grade point averages (GPAs) earn more than those graduates with lower GPAs (CivicScience)? Consider the college GPA and salary data (10 years after graduation) provided in the file GPASalary. http://tavana.us/rutgers/assignments/CH14-Assignment-Problem2-Data.xlsx GPA Salary 2.21 71000 2.28 49000
2.56 71000 2.58 63000 2.76 87000 2.85 97000 3.11 134000 3.35 130000 3.67 156000 3.69 161000 a. Develop a scatter diagram for these data with college GPA as the independent variable. What does the scatter diagram indicate about the relationship between the two variables? The scattergram shows a positive linear relationship. This indicates that the two variables are related, as we observe that people with a higher GPA are more likely to get a higher salary. To create a scatter plot, plug in the points that correspond to x and y values. b. Use these data to develop an estimated regression equation that can be used to predict annual salary 10 years after graduation given college GPA. The estimated regression equation is y= 72991x – 110210. There are two ways to find the estimated regression. One way is to use Excel to create a scatter plot, and under chart elements, you select 'more trendline options' and 'Display Equation on chart.' The other way is using the least squares method. You use the following formulas: b1 =∑( xi x ˉ)( yi y ˉ)/∑( xi x ˉ)2. This will get you the slope. Then you find the y-intercept by using the following formula: b0= y ˉ− b 1 x ˉ. This will get you the estimated regression
c. .At the .05 level of significance, does there appear to be a significant statistical relationship between the two variables? Null Hypothesis (Status Quo): There is no significant relationship between having a high GPA and a higher salary. Alternative Hypothesis (Opposite to Null): There is a significant relationship between having a high GPA and a higher salary. P-value: 7.25E-06<0.05 level of significance. We should reject the null hypothesis because there is a significant relationship between having a high GPA and a higher salary. To find this information, you first need to calculate the standard error of the data, which involves taking the Sum of Squares Error (residual) divided by the number of observations minus 2 (variables). Next, take the square root of the mean square error. Afterward, find SB 1 of the data by dividing the standard error by the square root of xi x ˉ. This value is used to perform the t-test on the data, calculated as b 1/ SB 1. Subsequently, input this value into Excel using the t.dist.2t formula to find the p-value. Finally, compare the p-value with the level of significance to determine whether to reject or accept the Null Hypothesis. If the p-value is less than the level of significance, we reject the null hypothesis. Problem 3 Restaurant Advertising and Revenue. Data on advertising expenditures and revenue (in thousands of dollars) for the Four Seasons Restaurant follow. Advertising Expenditures Revenue 1 19 2 32 4 44 6 40 10 52 14 53 20 54 a. Let x equal advertising expenditures and y equal revenue. Use the method of least squares to develop a straight- line approximation of the relationship between the two variables. You use the following formulas of the least squares: b1 =∑( xi x ˉ)( yi y ˉ)/∑( xi x ˉ)2. This will get you the slope. Then you find the y-intercept by using the following formula: b0= y ˉ− b 1 x ˉ. This will provide you with the formula for the linear slope, which is y =1.5475 x +29.399 . We can observe a positive linear relationship between Revenue and Advertising Formula. b. Test whether revenue and advertising expenditures are related at a .05 level of significance. Null Hypothesis (Status Quo): There is no significant relationship between having a high level of advertising expenditures and higher revenue.
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