final project

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Finance

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May 6, 2024

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Horizon Lines appears to be facing both operating and financial challenges. To determine the extent of its financial problem, we need to analyze its interest coverage and leverage ratios for 2011 based on the projections provided in Exhibit 8. A low interest coverage ratio and high leverage ratio would indicate significant financial distress and potential default on debt obligations. By examining these ratios, we can ascertain whether Horizon's financial woes stem primarily from its operations or its capital structure. If it's primarily a financial problem, addressing the capital structure through restructuring may be necessary for long-term viability. Each of the three financial restructuring options for Horizon Lines comes with its own set of advantages and disadvantages. Option 1 involves issuing equity, which could dilute existing shareholders but provide immediate funds to improve liquidity. Option 2, issuing new debt, may lead to increased interest expenses and further financial strain if not managed properly. Option 3, restructuring existing debt, could alleviate immediate pressure but may involve complex negotiations with creditors and potential conflicts of interest. Despite the risks associated with each option, the preferred choice depends on Horizon's specific circumstances and long-term strategic goals. Personally, I lean towards Option 1 as it offers the flexibility to raise capital without adding further debt burden, provided it's executed judiciously. In the event of choosing Option 1 (issuing equity), the number of shares needed to raise $100 million can be calculated by dividing the desired amount by the current share price. Assuming Horizon aims to raise additional capital while maintaining its existing capital structure of $524 million ($330 million of convertibles and $194 million of senior credit facility), issuing new shares could help achieve this financial objective without further increasing debt obligations. The exact number of shares required would depend on the prevailing market conditions and investor appetite for Horizon's equity offering. If Option 3, debt restructuring, is selected, careful planning is essential to ensure the cooperation of current debt holders. The restructuring plan could involve renegotiating terms such as interest rates, maturity dates, and possibly converting debt to equity. Debt holders may agree to such a plan if it offers them a better chance of recouping their investments compared to the alternative of Horizon defaulting on its obligations. By presenting a compelling restructuring proposal that balances the interests of all stakeholders, Horizon can potentially secure the necessary support from its creditors and pave the way for financial recovery. Milestone II: CASE 47 - Rosetta Stone: Pricing the 2009 IPO Rosetta Stone's decision to go public entails both advantages and disadvantages. Going public can provide access to a broader investor base and facilitate raising capital for expansion and growth initiatives. Additionally, it enhances the company's visibility and credibility in the market, potentially attracting strategic partnerships and acquisition opportunities. However, the process of going public also subjects the
company to stringent regulatory requirements, increased scrutiny from shareholders and analysts, and the pressure to deliver consistent financial performance to meet market expectations. Therefore, Rosetta Stone needs to carefully weigh these factors before proceeding with the IPO. Calculating the proposed market price for Rosetta Stone shares involves employing both discounted cash flow (DCF) and market multiples methods. The DCF approach entails forecasting future cash flows generated by the company and discounting them back to their present value using an appropriate discount rate. Market multiples, on the other hand, involve comparing Rosetta Stone's key financial metrics, such as earnings or revenue, to those of comparable publicly traded companies to derive a valuation multiple. By applying these methods, we can arrive at a range of valuations for Rosetta Stone shares, which can then be used to determine the proposed market price. Recommending a selling price for Rosetta Stone shares requires careful consideration of various factors, including the company's growth prospects, competitive positioning, industry trends, and prevailing market conditions. The recommended price should strike a balance between maximizing shareholder value and attracting investor interest. It should reflect the intrinsic value of the company as determined through rigorous financial analysis, while also taking into account investor expectations and the potential for aftermarket trading dynamics post-IPO. The market-multiples approach offers several advantages, such as simplicity, transparency, and reliance on market-derived data. By comparing Rosetta Stone to similar publicly traded companies, this method provides a quick and intuitive way to gauge the company's relative valuation. However, it may oversimplify the analysis and fail to capture the unique aspects of Rosetta Stone's business model and growth potential. Additionally, market multiples are sensitive to market fluctuations and changes in investor sentiment, which could result in volatile valuation estimates. Conducting a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis requires careful examination of Rosetta Stone's financial forecast presented in Case Exhibit 8. It involves scrutinizing key assumptions underlying the forecast, such as revenue growth rates, operating margins, and capital expenditure requirements. Assessing the reasonableness of the forecast period is essential to ensure that it adequately captures the company's long-term growth prospects without making overly optimistic or pessimistic assumptions. Determining an appropriate discount rate for Rosetta Stone's cash-flow forecast involves evaluating the company's risk profile and cost of capital. Factors to consider include the company's beta, debt-to-equity ratio, and prevailing market conditions. The discount rate should reflect the expected return demanded by investors commensurate with the level of risk associated with investing in Rosetta Stone. Developing a terminal value for Rosetta Stone involves making assumptions about the company's future growth and profitability beyond the explicit
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